"Hello students, I'm Duan Yongping."
"To be honest, I'm just a businessman. I'm not an expert in economics. I'm not qualified to give a speech here. However, the dean knew that I came back recently and forced me to come here. So I'm here to talk about the future of China's three major industries. "
Duan Yongping was not handsome. He had a crew cut, but he was very energetic.
Chen Yu admired this legendary businessman for a long time. He sat in the middle and listened.
Duan Yongping was not like Lu Zhou, who had cheats.
He was able to succeed because of his own abilities.
Being able to listen to this senior's insights was a great benefit.
Of course, this was also the reason why the universities were so popular.
Even if they didn't learn much from the various universities, if they could often listen to the speeches of these big shots, under the influence of what they saw and heard, their horizons would not be comparable to that of ordinary people.
"We all know that when we divide the industries, we divide them into three major industries. They are the first, second, and third industries. The first industry is relatively simple. It's the most basic agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishing industry. This industry has existed in China for thousands of years. Here, we'll talk about the second and third industries. "
"The second industry is industry, and the third industry is service industry. If we look at our country's national situation, the second industry is the dominant force, and the third industry is just starting to develop. However, if we look at the developed countries and compare it to the United States, the third industry already accounts for more than 70% of the GDP. Then, we have to ask, will China's future trend be the same as the United States? Will we develop the third industry? "
Duan Yongping was not the only one who asked this question. Anyone who studied economics was researching this question.
However, how China's economy would adjust in the future was only a matter of the future.
Before the future arrived, no one knew.
"Of course, because the future has not arrived, we don't know what will happen in the future. However, even though the future has not arrived, we can still make some predictions. In other words, we can look at the current situation in our country and see which areas we have a better chance in. "
Duan Yongping smiled. "When I came to Shenzhen University, I heard that Shenzhen University is a pragmatic university. If Shenzhou University is always researching theories and not putting them into practice, then what's the difference between us and Peking University? "
As soon as these words were spoken, all of the seated students began to laugh.
This sentence could be said to be a profound saying.
At the same time, it was also the pride of the students of Shenzhen University.
Wasn't the purpose of going to university to live a better life?
You want to study theory, you want to be a philosopher, you want to be a scientist … Shenda is not for you.
"So, let's do something practical today."
Duan Yongping was not a theoretical person. He was also a practical person. Since he was going to be pragmatic, he should talk about something more practical. He was always talking about those economic theories. It might seem reasonable, but it was useless.
"In my opinion, regardless of whether China will embark on the path of tertiary industry development in the future, with China's population of more than a billion people, China must always firmly develop labor-intensive industries, because only labor-intensive industries can provide employment for a large number of people. The labor-intensive industries are currently most concentrated in the secondary industry. Let's talk about the secondary industry.
"The secondary industry is mainly industry and manufacturing. This includes resource extraction, petrochemical, machine manufacturing, wood clothing processing, electronic manufacturing … etc. Let's analyze them one by one. Forget about resource extraction and petrochemical, there is not much opportunity for development, and ordinary people can't enter. At the same time, China's resources are not considered rich in the world, especially oil. We import a large amount of oil every year. The machine manufacturing has a lot of potential, but we don't have a lot of advantages. For example, car manufacturing, there is a huge gap between us and other countries, and it will be difficult for us to catch up in a short period of time. We have a bigger advantage in wood clothing processing, for example, our clothing has been exported all over the world. However, this advantage is based on the fact that the cost of labor is extremely low, and the profit of wood clothing processing is very low, and there is not much technology. In the future, when our labor costs increase, wood clothing processing may even move to places with lower labor costs … "
Chen Yu agreed with this.
The clothing processing industry in the future had indeed moved to Southeast Asia and even Africa.
The reason was the same as what Duan Yongping said, which was that the labor costs there were very low.
"Finally, let's talk about the electronic industry. This electronic industry includes home appliances, all kinds of electronic products, computers, mobile phones, VCD players, and yes, our Little Tyrant learning machine."
Everyone laughed again.
However, everyone knew that Duan Yongping was just joking. The Little Tyrant learning machine did not have a big market anymore.
Duan Yongping's main business was now focused on the Bubugao series of electronic products.
"Why did I focus on the electronic industry? It is not because I am in this industry, but because the electronic industry is very special. We all know that the industry that changes the fastest is the electronic industry. According to Moore's Law, the electronic industry's performance will double every 18 months. Don't underestimate this statement. Behind this statement is actually an unlimited business opportunity. "
"What does it mean for the electronic industry's performance to double every 18 months mean? It means that the industry changes very quickly. What does it mean if the industry changes very quickly? It means that new products and new technologies will continuously enter the market. When these new products and new technologies enter the market, they will definitely eliminate the old products and old technologies. For example, the Little Tyrant learning machine will be eliminated. The VCD player will also be eliminated … and in the midst of these products being eliminated, this will be our opportunity. "
"Although we also know that our electronic industry is still very far behind Europe, America, Japan, and South Korea in this area, it does not matter. But that didn't matter. The faster the update speed, the more new forces would appear. China has a population of more than a billion people. Once our technology catches up slightly, then the entire electronic industry will be our opportunity. "
Chen Yu nodded again.
He was indeed a genius.
Although the future had not arrived yet, except for a small part that Chen Yu did not agree with, most of the future was basically predicted by Duan Yongping. In fact, in the future electronic industry, China had indeed caught up and achieved a curve overtaking.
This was not possible in other industries.
For example, in the area of automobile manufacturing.
Why was it that China could not achieve a curve overtaking in automobile manufacturing?
In fact, it was because automobile manufacturing and machinery manufacturing industries were simply too slow. The slower the update speed, the slower the technology development, and the slower the technology development, the slower the new forces entering the market. This was also why even though China's automobile industry had been developing for so many years, there was still a huge gap between them and Europe.
Of course, the electric cars in the future suddenly caused the technology to be updated a lot faster.
Maybe in the future, this would be an opportunity for China's automobile industry to overtake.
Of course, even though this was the case, there was still a huge gap between China's advanced electronic technology.
For example, the CPU.
However, according to the analysis from his previous life, even if it was the CPU, China was slowly overcoming this huge obstacle.
"Clap, clap, clap …"
The audience applauded.
Those who could enter Shenhai University were all smart people.
In addition, Duan Yongping's words inspired many people.
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