"Mr. Jing?" Feng Bujue immediately understood the meaning of this nickname. "Oh … You mean Huadian (in Peking Opera, 'Jing' is usually called Huadian. Zhengjing, Fujing, and Wujing correspond to Da Huadian, Er Huadian, and Wu Er Huadian)?"
"Don't talk nonsense with me." Mr. Jing was a little surprised that his Brother Jue understood the meaning of his nickname. However, he didn't intend to continue this topic. "What's your name? Crow's Mouth? "
"Sure," Feng Bujue smiled magnanimously. "You can call me 'Crow's Mouth.'"
"Hmph …" Mr. Jing snorted. "Then, I'll start with the question. Crow's Mouth."
As he spoke, he picked up the paper and pen in front of him.
"Go ahead." The trolley was about 1.25 meters tall, and for adults who were within the average height range, as long as they leaned forward, they could use their elbows to rest on the table. Feng Bujue answered easily with a cup of drink in his hand and one of his elbows on the table.
…
According to the rules, there were two rounds in the guessing game. In the first round, the challenger would call the bet and guess the answer, while the challenger would be responsible for setting the question.
In each round, there were "two parts" that needed to be called.
In the first part, the guessing party would "declare" that the correct answer would be guessed within "several rounds." Then, the contestant would place a bet according to the number of rounds given by the challenger. The minimum bet amount must be no less than 1% of the total amount of money the contestant had at the beginning of the game. After this round, the bet amount would be fixed. The guessing party couldn't increase the bet amount and had to follow up.
For example, if the guessing party declared that he could guess the answer "within five rounds," it was almost impossible. Obviously, the probability of such a thing happening was close to zero. In such a case, the host would definitely call for the maximum amount of bets he could afford, and the challenger would have to follow suit. (If the challenger did not have enough money, he or she would have to follow the host's rule number two and continue the contest.)
Then, when the game was "completely over," the contestant would settle the bet according to the number of rounds.
Of course, this kind of situation was unlikely to happen.
This was because "this part" of the bet, which was the part of the "gambling round", was generally to give money to the guessing party.
As long as the guessing side said an exaggerated number of "one hundred rounds" or even "one thousand rounds" in the declaration, it was basically a sure win. Therefore, this part of the bet was called by the question maker … When faced with that kind of number, the question maker would definitely call the lowest bet he could.
In other words, after this round, as long as the guessing side didn't lose all their money during the duel, they would be able to get a small amount of money back from the guessing side.
This setting was mainly set up to take into account that the guessing side was obviously at a disadvantage in the duel.
Then, he looked at the "second part" of the note:
This part was repeated over and over again during the duel … In other words, the guessing side had to place a bet every round. Similarly … the amount of the bet could not be less than 1% of the total amount of money that the guessing side had. The guessing side had two choices. The first was to call, and the second was to surrender.
Calling meant that the game would continue. "Surrendering" meant that the guessing side had admitted defeat. After the guessing side had paid the corresponding penalty, the game would be declared over.
If the "gambling round" rule was to protect the guessing side, then the "surrendering" rule was naturally to protect the guessing side.
Let me give an example … If there was no "surrendering" option, then all the guessing side could use a very simple tactic to ensure that they would win money. That was, starting from the first round, they would only place the lowest bet in each round. Then, they would bet all their remaining money on the round that they were sure to guess correctly.
With this tactic, as long as the guessing side could guess the answer within fifty rounds, the guessing side would be in an invincible position. This didn't include the amount of "gambling round" before the start of each round.
Therefore, there was the "surrendering" setting.
Of course, there was also a limit to the "surrendering". Otherwise, the guessing side could also take advantage of this to ensure that the guessing side would win … For example, the guessing side could suddenly surrender after ten to twenty rounds of the game.
In order to prevent this from happening, there was the "surrendering penalty."
In this guessing game, there were two formulas to calculate the surrendering penalty.
The first one was applicable to surrendering within the first twenty rounds. The formula was: 10% of the opponent's money at the beginning of the game * (50 + the number of rounds completed)% + 10% of the opponent's bet in this round + the basic penalty.
The second formula was used from the twenty-first round onwards. The formula was: 10% of the opponent's money at the beginning of the game * (50 + the number of rounds completed)% + 10% of the opponent's bet in this round + the basic penalty.
The so-called "basic penalty" was based on the number of rounds. The basic penalty for surrendering within the first ten rounds was 5% of the opponent's money at the beginning of the game. The basic penalty for surrendering within the first ten rounds was 10% of the opponent's money at the beginning of the game. The basic penalty for surrendering within the first eleven to twenty rounds was 10% of the opponent's money at the beginning of the game. By the twenty-first to thirty rounds, the basic penalty would rise to 20% of the opponent's money at the beginning of the game. From the thirty-first round onwards, the basic penalty would be directly reduced to zero.
Another example … In a certain game, both sides had a hundred thousand dollars at the beginning of the game. The guessing side bet 1% of the money in each round. After thirty rounds, the guessing side had lost thirty thousand dollars. Then, in the thirty-first round, the guessing side had the confidence to win. At this time, the guessing side bet the remaining seventy thousand dollars.
Seeing this, the guessing side chose to surrender … At this time, the guessing side had to pay a penalty of 10% of the hundred thousand dollars multiplied by 20 (50-30)%, which was two thousand dollars … plus 10% of the opponent's bet in this round, which was seven thousand dollars … plus the basic penalty of zero, the guessing side had to pay a total of nine thousand dollars.
Although it was nine thousand dollars in one go, compared to seventy thousand dollars, it was much better.
In short, when the question maker chose to surrender, the game was declared over. Using the example above, the result was that the question maker won 21000 USD from the guessing side.
After this part of the calculation was completed, the two sides continued with the "number of rounds" calculation. Assuming that the guessing side had declared "within a hundred rounds," and the guessing side had bet the lowest one thousand dollars, then … the guessing side would have to pay another one thousand dollars to the guessing side, and the final net win was twenty thousand dollars.
Above, under "normal circumstances," the guessing side would choose the time to surrender through the behavior of "the guessing side raising the bet."
Then … under the same conditions, if the guessing side chose to "quit while you're ahead," what would happen?
I won't list the detailed calculation process here. Let's look at the results directly … Let's deduce according to the condition that both sides had a hundred thousand dollars, and the guessing side bet one thousand dollars each time.
If the guessing side surrendered in the first round (note that the additional percentage in the first round is 50 + 0, not 50 + 1), the loss would be 10100 dollars. The second round would be 10200 dollars. After that, every round would increase by one hundred dollars until the tenth round.
In other words, if the guessing side surrendered in any of the first ten rounds, the guessing side would lose money.
From the eleventh round onwards, due to the increase in the basic penalty, the penalty for surrendering jumped to 16100 dollars. After that, the guessing side would have the opportunity to "quit while you're ahead" in the eighteenth round. If the guessing side surrendered in this round, the penalty would be 16800 dollars, and the previous seventeen rounds had earned 17000 dollars, so the guessing side would earn 200 dollars. But … don't forget that there was still the money for the "number of rounds". If that was included, the guessing side would still lose money … Therefore, the guessing side would have to wait for another round. By the nineteenth round, the guessing side would earn 18000 dollars. The penalty would be 16900 dollars, and the guessing side would be 1000 dollars. At that time, the guessing side would only earn 100 dollars …
Therefore, in the first twenty rounds, if the guessing side wanted to "win", there were only two chances, and that was to surrender in the nineteenth and twentieth rounds. According to the formula, the former would earn 100 dollars, and the latter would earn 1000 dollars …
But … it's rare for you to be the guessing side. Do you think you can just earn a thousand dollars? Don't forget that this game is a "race to the top." It doesn't mean that you can win without losing money.
So, let's take a look at the situation at the beginning of the twenty-first round …
At the beginning of this round, the formula had changed, but the basic penalty had increased again. The penalty for surrendering in the twenty-first round was 23100 dollars. After that, it would be reduced by 100 dollars for every round. Obviously, from this round onwards, the surrendering mechanism would be inclined to protect the guessing side. Because after the twentieth round, the guessing side would have a higher probability of guessing the answer.
In this way, if the 1000 from the gambling round was included, the twenty-fifth round would be a watershed. The fine for this round was 22700, plus the 1000 from the gambling round, the total was 23700. However, the money that the person who came up with the question won … was 24000. Of course, this was only a profit of 300, so this was not the main point …
The main point was that from this round onwards, after every round, the winnings of the guessing side would increase by 1100 dollars if the guessing side suddenly surrendered.
After six rounds, in the thirty-first round, the "basic penalty" would be reduced to zero, and the guessing side would have an extra 20,000 dollars. In this round, if the guessing side didn't raise the stakes, the guessing side would only have a penalty of 2100 dollars after surrendering. At this moment, the guessing side had already won 30,000 dollars. Even if the guessing side didn't raise the stakes, the guessing side would have a net profit of 26900 dollars …
To sum up, the key confrontation of this guessing game was between the twenty-fifth and the thirtieth round … If the guessing side couldn't guess the correct answer before the thirty-first round, then the guessing side could win 29% of your chips by surrendering immediately. Even if the guessing side happened to guess the answer in the thirty-first round, it would only save about 10% of your losses.
Of course, although I said a lot, it was all just theory.
In a real game, all kinds of situations could happen …
Perhaps someone would be able to guess the answer within twenty-five rounds. Perhaps someone would be able to increase the stakes without guessing correctly. Perhaps someone would think that they had guessed correctly, or forcefully increase the stakes when the thirtieth round was about to pass, only to be seen through by the other party and follow up …
On the gambling table, cheating, scheming, acting, seeing through … anything could happen.
In the world of gambling, probability wouldn't respect you, and the God of Luck didn't exist.
Praying ten thousand times for luck wasn't as good as practicing ten thousand times for skill.
The weak would be defeated, devoured, and crushed … and they wouldn't get any sympathy.
Winning and living … was the only justice in this world.
…
A minute later, Mr. Jing had written six numbers on the paper in front of him.
Then, he folded the paper carefully with his palm and handed it to the man in the suit and sunglasses next to the cart.
The man took the paper carefully and turned around. He blocked Feng Bujue's view with his broad back. Then, he unfolded the paper and looked at the numbers on it.
Two seconds later, the man in the suit folded the paper again and put it in his jacket pocket.
He turned around and stood facing the table again. He then said to Mr. Jing, "Once the number is confirmed, it can't be changed. So, I need to confirm with you. The six numbers just now … Are they okay?"
"Yes," Mr. Jing replied firmly, "I'm sure."
"Okay." The man in the suit nodded. "You've read the rules, but I still want to emphasize a few points …" He paused for half a second and continued, "First of all, if you're caught cheating, you'll lose immediately, and all the money will go to your opponent." As he spoke, he gestured at a small device on the table. "Secondly, this timer on the table is similar to the one used in chess games. It records the time spent by both parties. The total time spent by the guessing player is forty-five minutes. If the guessing player still can't guess the answer within this time, then no matter how many rounds have been played, how much money both parties have, and how much the 'betting round' is, the guessing player will be considered to have 'lost'. All the money the guessing player has will belong to the other party." He paused and said, "In addition, the guessing player's call time, the question maker's call time, and the question maker's feedback time to the guessing player's answer are all calculated separately. The calling time and the calling time must be completed within one minute, and the feedback time is only thirty seconds. If you violate the rules, you'll be fined 1% of your money at the beginning of the game. The second time, you'll be fined 2%, and so on …"
The rules that the man in the suit emphasized were indeed very important. Needless to say, the punishment for cheating … As for the "intentional stalling" situation, the organizer had already considered it when designing the game. With such a high price, the ugly and unskilled method of "stalling" basically wouldn't be used.
Only in this way could the pace of the game be kept tight and create a considerable amount of pressure …
And the behavior of the "guests" under pressure was exactly what the organizer wanted to see.
"Ah, ah, I know. Can we start now?" Feng Bujue was a little impatient after listening to the man in the suit.
The man in the suit didn't answer him. Instead, he glanced at both players with a blank expression and raised his hand to the timer.
After confirming Brother Bujue's and Mr. Jing's reactions, the man in the suit said, "Since both sides have no objection, then … let's start!"
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